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C00002 00002 Dear Dave:
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Dear Dave:
I just found your memo asking for comments on the article by
d'Imperio. This would not be difficult for me, because I have read
Dreyfus's book, and I have debated with Dreyfus as well as having
reviewed Lighthill's report for the AI Journal. I have also read the
Roszak book to which she? refers. It is just a question of how much
trouble you think it is worth. In my opinion, unless the article
expresses a substantial body of opinion in NSA or elsewhere in DoD, I
would rather not devote too much effort to it. The main reason is
that her views are rather eccentric in rejecting not only AI but
"those often unspoken assumptions about the brain, the mind, human
knowledge, and the nature of reality that underlie not only A.I.
research, but in fact our whole Western scientific world-view." If
DoD were to follow Roszak and give that up, it would give up
mechanical devices such as rifles and rely on incantations to defend
the country. Moreover, her summary of Dreyfus is not accurate,
because Dreyfus is not a wholehearted follower of Roszak. Therefore,
it would be necessary to decide whether to defend AI against Roszak,
against Dreyfus or d'Imperio. Just in case you haven't seen it, I am
sending you a copy of my review of the Lighthill Report.
Here, however, are some opinions on some of the issues raised
by d'Imperio.
1. The success of AI has been limited so far. Comparing it
with genetics, the equivalent of the discovery of the genetic code in
1953 after 100 years of research hasn't occurred yet. To take this
as a reason for abandoning AI research requires additional arguments
some of which Dreyfus attempted to supply although his own position
on whether the research is worthwhile is rather ambiguous. I think
that, on the whole, he supports the research as worthwhile for its
potential achievements in areas that he thinks doable, even though he
thinks true intelligence is not achievable by present methods.
2. The issue of whether AI research has enough payoff to
justify continued DoD support is not addressed by d'Imperio, and I
have addressed it in our proposals and elsewhere.
3. Dreyfus's book is not a very well reasoned attack on the
ideas of how human level intelligence might be achieved that are
current in the AI community. I could do it better, i.e. argue for
the conclusion that the present ideas are inadequate, and something
new has to be invented.
4. The attack on AI is part of the attack on science
generally that stems, it seems to me, from the fact that many
intellectuals find themselves unhappy and are experimenting with
blaming various aspects of our civilization. AI is especially
attacked, because it carries the scientific method into a new area
that remains dear to the literary intellectual, and because its
limited success makes it somewhat vulnerable.
I can examine the details of d'Imperio's points if this is
important; i.e. if someone important says that some decision depends
on it.
John McCarthy